Fylde vs Worthing Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Mill Farm
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.79
Draw
4.06
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Fylde
Worthing
16'
⚽ J. Marquez (D. Hutchinson)
L. Thomas (H. Broad) ⚽
60'
65'
🟨 R. Aguiar
71'
🟨 S. Packham
L. Thomas (H. Broad) ⚽
73'
79'
🟨 A. Nathaniel-George
89'
⚽ R. Coleman De-Graft
L. Thomas 🟨
90'
Starting Lineups
Fylde
Z. Jones
A. Drewe
W. Lancaster
C. Whelan
A. Lewis
C. Merrie
G. Olley
T. Upton
E. Mitchell
H. Broad
L. Thomas
Worthing
T. Seymour
J. Colbran
H. Ransom
J. Moore
C. Adjetey-Brew
R. Coleman De-Graft
R. Aguiar
J. Wadham
D. Hutchinson
R. Carter
J. Marquez
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Fylde
Fylde's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fylde win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fylde win
Latest market chance 52.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
47.5% → 52.2%
+4.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.4% → 23.8%
−1.6 pts
Worthing win
Latest market chance 24.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.1% → 24.0%
−3.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fylde
Draw
Worthing
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Fylde
Worthing
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
16th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
1.20
2.20
Goals/Game
1.80
1.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
8.0
Shots/Game
10.1
4.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Fylde at home (5 matches) vs Worthing away (6 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.83
1.40
Goals/Game
2.17
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.67
20%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fylde
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Worthing
Away form
W
L
Won 1 of last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Worthing.
2.5
Goals scored
per match
2.5
Goals conceded
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
0/2
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Fylde and Worthing.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fylde
vs
Worthing
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/5
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/5
4/10
Failed to Score
0/5
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
41.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 62.0%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 61.9%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Worthing have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of Fylde's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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