Gateshead vs Altrincham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gateshead International Stadium
Tue 29 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.09
Draw
4.17
Away Win
1.74
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Gateshead
Altrincham
J. Robinson 🟨
8'
21'
⚽ J. Knowles
36'
🟨 M. Kosylo
67'
🟨 J. Cooper
M. Spellman 🟨
81'
81'
• J. Knowles (J. Knowles)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Altrincham stronger
Altrincham rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Altrincham stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Altrincham stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Altrincham have secured two victories in their last five away outings, while Gateshead have managed just one win and a draw from their last five home fixtures. Gateshead have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Altrincham rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Altrincham won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 25 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Gateshead's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Gateshead's implied win probability has fallen by 7.5 percentage points, while Altrincham's implied win probability has risen by 9.6 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Altrincham stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Altrincham
Altrincham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Altrincham win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 22.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
29.7% → 22.2%
−7.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.6% → 23.5%
−2.1 pts
Altrincham win
Latest market chance 54.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.7% → 54.3%
+9.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gateshead
Draw
Altrincham
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GatesheadAltrincham
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
8th
10
Games Played
10
0.40
Points/Game
1.80
0.60
Goals/Game
1.50
2.40
Conceded/Game
1.50
6.1
Shots/Game
6.7
3.2
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Gateshead at home (6 matches) vs Altrincham away (7 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
1.29
0.83
Goals/Game
1.00
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.71
17%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gateshead
Home form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Altrincham
Away form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gateshead Wins
1
Draws
1
Altrincham Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Altrincham3 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead0 – 2Altrincham
Gateshead0 – 1Altrincham
Altrincham2 – 2Gateshead
Altrincham2 – 3Gateshead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gatesheadvs
Altrincham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 57.7%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 57.9%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?