Halifax vs Sutton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Shay
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
3.68
Away Win
3.08
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Halifax
Sutton
D. Crowe 🟨
27'
C. Johnson 🟨
33'
45+6'
🟨 B. Brookes
T. Trusty 🟨
85'
C. Douglas 🟨
88'
M. Bardell (Z. Gilsenan) ⚽
90+4'
90+5'
⚽ D. Ogbonna (C. Carter)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Halifax edge recent form, Sutton edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Halifax slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sutton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Sutton have recorded just two wins in their last five away outings, whereas Halifax have secured three victories from their last five home fixtures. Halifax have scored in every one of their last five matches at home but have only kept two clean sheets during that same period. Halifax hold a slight advantage in form, while Sutton hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Halifax's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points, while Sutton's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Halifax
Halifax's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Halifax win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Halifax win
Latest market chance 43.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
39.6% → 43.0%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.3%
±0.0 pts
Sutton win
Latest market chance 30.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
34.0% → 30.7%
−3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Halifax
Draw
Sutton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HalifaxSutton
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
8th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
1.88
1.62
Goals/Game
1.12
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.12
9.7
Shots/Game
6.2
5.6
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Halifax at home (6 matches) vs Sutton away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.33
1.83
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.17
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Halifax
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sutton
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Halifax Wins
1
Draws
3
Sutton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Halifax2 – 2Sutton
Sutton2 – 0Halifax
Sutton0 – 3Halifax
Halifax0 – 0Sutton
Halifax2 – 2Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Halifaxvs
Sutton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.9%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.6%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Halifax's 10 matches and 2 of Sutton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?