Harrogate vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Exercise Stadium
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.28
Away Win
4.87
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Harrogate
Gateshead
46'
⚽ P. Jameson (K. Lewis-Burgess)
J. Hmami (A. Baptiste) ⚽
53'
J. Hmami 🟨
58'
A. Boatswain ⚽ (OG)
90'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Harrogate stronger
Harrogate rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Harrogate stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Harrogate stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Harrogate win
Latest market chance 58.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.7% → 58.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.9% → 21.9%
±0.0 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 19.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.4% → 19.4%
±0.0 pts
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Harrogate
Gateshead
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
20th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
0.75
2.75
Goals/Game
0.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.3
Shots/Game
6.1
7.3
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Harrogate at home (7 matches) vs Gateshead away (6 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
0.00
2.86
Goals/Game
0.33
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.67
71%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Harrogate
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Harrogate Wins
2
Draws
0
Gateshead Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.5
2019-04-222018-2019
Harrogate2 – 0Gateshead
2018-09-042018-2019
Gateshead2 – 3Harrogate
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Harrogate
vs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
41.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.4%→Latest 62.2%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
9 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Harrogate's 10 matches and 6 of Gateshead's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…