Harrogate vs Tamworth Head to Head | National League

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 1

Match Events

Harrogate

Tamworth

⚽ B. Milnes

B. Hobson (J. Hmami) ⚽

16'

34'

🟨 M. Roberts

M. Williams 🟨

40'

S. McCoulsky 🟨

40'

W. McGowan (L. Cass) ⚽

42'

45+1'

🟨 D. Creaney

W. Burrell 🟨

51'

J. Hmami (W. McGowan) ⚽

63'

86'

🟨 N. Tshikuna

90'

🟨 J. Rye

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Match Analysis

Tamworth arrive at this National League fixture with a mixed away record, having drawn three times but also suffered two defeats in their last five outings, whereas Harrogate boast a more positive home form with three wins and no losses from their most recent five matches. At home, Harrogate have found the net in all of their last five matches while keeping a clean sheet just once during that same period. Harrogate rate stronger on form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift away from Harrogate

Harrogate's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Harrogate win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Harrogate win

Latest market chance 52.7%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

54.6% → 52.7%

−1.9 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.2% → 23.1%

−0.1 pts

Tamworth win

Latest market chance 24.1%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

22.2% → 24.1%

+1.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Harrogate

Draw

Tamworth

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Harrogate

Tamworth

Season Profile

This season

3rd

League Position

19th

Games Played

2.17

Points/Game

0.83

2.50

Goals/Game

2.00

1.50

Conceded/Game

2.67

12.3

Shots/Game

11.3

7.3

Shots on Target

5.4

Home vs Away Context

Harrogate at home (7 matches) vs Tamworth away (7 matches)

2.29

Points/Game

0.57

2.86

Goals/Game

1.43

1.29

Conceded/Game

3.00

71%

Win Rate

14%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Harrogate

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

2 of these matches from last season.

2.6

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Tamworth

Away form

Winless in last 5 away

2 of these matches from last season.

1.8

Goals scored
per match

2.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Harrogate and Tamworth.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Harrogate

Tamworth

Recent Scoring Profile

2.60

Goals scored / game

2.00

1.30

Goals conceded / game

2.10

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

7/10

Both Teams Scored

9/10

0/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

62.2%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

41.7%

BTTSBoth teams score

62.2%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 61.2%→Latest 62.8%+1.6 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.6%→Latest 62.5%+1.9 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

4 of Harrogate's 10 matches and 4 of Tamworth's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Harrogate vs Tamworth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis