Hornchurch vs Aldershot Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hornchurch Stadium
Tue 29 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.73
Away Win
3.12
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hornchurch
Aldershot
D. Poleon ⚽
25'
44'
⚽ H. Sandah (M. Dinanga)
G. Alexander ⚽
60'
71'
🟨 D. Odusanya
90+2'
🟨 T. Abrahams
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Aldershot have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Hornchurch boast three victories in four home fixtures. Hornchurch have scored in three of their last four home matches and kept three clean sheets in that same period. Aldershot rate stronger on form. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hornchurch win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.5% → 43.7%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.1%
−0.2 pts
Aldershot win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 30.3%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hornchurch
Draw
Aldershot
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HornchurchAldershot
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
5th
10
Games Played
10
1.50
Points/Game
1.80
1.10
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.80
8.3
Shots/Game
8.7
4.2
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Hornchurch at home (5 matches) vs Aldershot away (6 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
1.33
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
80%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hornchurch
Home form
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 4 at home
Limited history — only 4 home fixtures on record for Hornchurch.
1.25
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.25
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
3/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aldershot
Away form
W
D
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Hornchurch and Aldershot.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hornchurchvs
Aldershot
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 55.3%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 58.9%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?