Hornchurch vs Forest Green Head to Head | National League

Match Report

Full Time

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Match Events

Hornchurch

Forest Green

⚽ R. Rees (S. Etaluku)

H. Hearn 🟨

20'

J. Walker 🟨

30'

61'

🟨 J. Clarke

H. Sandat 🟨

74'

Starting Lineups

Hornchurch

A. Nasta

J. Kizzi

R. Inniss

F. Edwards

S. Ling

M. Bracking

M. Weston

T. Wraight

C. Pegrum

H. Hearn

J. Walker

Forest Green

E. Ross

K. Abrefa

F. Mabete

K. Ajayi

F. Sass

J. Clarke

T. Campbell

K. McAllister

K. Kelly

S. Etaluku

R. Rees

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from Forest Green

Forest Green's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Forest Green win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Hornchurch win

Latest market chance 27.6%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

23.1% → 27.6%

+4.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 25.6%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

24.1% → 25.6%

+1.5 pts

Forest Green win

Latest market chance 46.8%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

52.8% → 46.8%

−6.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

5 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Hornchurch

Draw

Forest Green

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Hornchurch

Forest Green

Season Profile

This season

3rd

League Position

17th

Games Played

2.40

Points/Game

1.20

2.00

Goals/Game

1.20

1.40

Conceded/Game

2.00

8.3

Shots/Game

9.8

4.2

Shots on Target

4.4

Home vs Away Context

Hornchurch at home (5 matches) vs Forest Green away (5 matches)

2.40

Points/Game

1.60

1.40

Goals/Game

1.40

0.40

Conceded/Game

1.40

80%

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Hornchurch

Home form

Unbeaten in last 2 at home

Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for Hornchurch.

2.0

Goals scored
per match

0.0

Goals conceded
per match

2/2

Scored in
last 2

2/2

Clean
sheets

Forest Green

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

0.8

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Hornchurch and Forest Green.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Hornchurch

Forest Green

Recent Scoring Profile

2.00

Goals scored / game

1.60

1.40

Goals conceded / game

1.50

4/5

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

3/5

Both Teams Scored

6/10

0/5

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.9%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

56.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

36.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

59.0%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 56.1%→Latest 56.5%+0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.8%→Latest 59.0%+2.2 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Hornchurch have only 5 completed fixtures on record.

5 of Forest Green's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Hornchurch vs Forest Green Head to Head, Prediction