Kidderminster vs Hartlepool Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Aggborough Stadium
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.31
Draw
3.52
Away Win
2.95
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Kidderminster
Hartlepool
3'
🟨 J. Hunter
6'
🟨 N. Eccleston
L. Walker 🟨
29'
N. Eccleston ⚽ (OG)
35'
47'
🟨 N. Eccleston
47'
🟥 N. Eccleston
60'
🟨 C. Deeming
C. Stewart (E. Moore) ⚽
85'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kidderminster edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kidderminster slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Kidderminster stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Hartlepool have struggled away from home recently, managing just a solitary win in their last five outings, while Kidderminster sit slightly firmer at this venue with two draws and a win among their last five matches. Kidderminster have found the net in three of their last five home games but have only kept one clean sheet during that same short run. Kidderminster rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. Kidderminster won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 23 January 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Hartlepool's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Hartlepool losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
57%
Hartlepool yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Kidderminster
Kidderminster's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Kidderminster win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kidderminster win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.3% → 39.9%
+1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.2%
−0.1 pts
Hartlepool win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
33.4% → 31.8%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kidderminster
Draw
Hartlepool
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KidderminsterHartlepool
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
1.83
Points/Game
1.50
1.67
Goals/Game
0.83
1.17
Conceded/Game
0.67
6.7
Shots/Game
7.3
3.1
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Kidderminster at home (7 matches) vs Hartlepool away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.83
43%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kidderminster
Home form
L
L
W
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hartlepool
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kidderminster Wins
2
Draws
2
Hartlepool Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Hartlepool0 – 1Kidderminster
Kidderminster1 – 1Hartlepool
Kidderminster2 – 2Hartlepool
Hartlepool2 – 1Kidderminster
Kidderminster3 – 2Hartlepool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kidderminstervs
Hartlepool
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.0%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.5%→Latest 54.2%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Kidderminster's 10 matches and 4 of Hartlepool's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?