Kidderminster vs Sutton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Aggborough Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.53
Draw
3.31
Away Win
2.85
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Kidderminster
Sutton
C. Stewart ⚽
15'
C. Harries 🟨
31'
48'
🟨 S. Brits
88'
⚽ O. Mussa (T. Babalola)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Not enough data available for a statistical comparison on this fixture yet.
Match Analysis
Sutton arrive at this National League fixture with two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Kidderminster have secured two victories alongside two draws in their corresponding home sample of five matches. Kidderminster have found the net in four of their last five home games, yet they have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent run at this venue. Kidderminster rate stronger on form. Over the 6-day comparison window, Kidderminster's implied win probability has fallen by 4.0 percentage points, while Sutton's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Kidderminster
Kidderminster's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Kidderminster win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kidderminster win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
42.3% → 38.3%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.5% → 28.5%
+1.0 pts
Sutton win
Latest market chance 33.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
30.3% → 33.3%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kidderminster
Draw
Sutton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KidderminsterSutton
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
11th
11
Games Played
11
1.64
Points/Game
1.55
1.27
Goals/Game
1.18
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.36
6.7
Shots/Game
6.2
3.1
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Kidderminster at home (7 matches) vs Sutton away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.17
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kidderminster
Home form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sutton
Away form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Kidderminster and Sutton.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kidderminstervs
Sutton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 46.1%−4.0 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 51.7%−3.0 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?