Solihull vs Barrow Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Damson Park
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.69
Draw
3.68
Away Win
2.42
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Solihull
Barrow
14'
🟨 S. Smith
26'
🟨 M. Williams
43'
🟨 M. Williams
43'
🟥 M. Williams
51'
🟨 I. Marriott
S. High (J. Sbarra) ⚽
66'
C. Green 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Barrow stronger
Barrow rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barrow stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Barrow have managed just a solitary defeat in their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Solihull remain winless at home over the same span. Solihull have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have conceded in every single one of those same outings. Barrow rate stronger on form and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2020. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Barrow stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Solihull losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Solihull points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Solihull win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.1% → 34.8%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.4%
+0.2 pts
Barrow win
Latest market chance 38.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.6% → 38.8%
+0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Solihull
Draw
Barrow
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Solihull
Barrow
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
21st
7
Games Played
7
0.14
Points/Game
0.86
1.00
Goals/Game
1.43
2.71
Conceded/Game
1.57
10.2
Shots/Game
8.9
4.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Solihull at home (7 matches) vs Barrow away (6 matches)
0.43
Points/Game
1.00
0.57
Goals/Game
1.50
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.67
14%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Solihull
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Barrow
Away form
D
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Solihull Wins
2
Draws
1
Barrow Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
2020-01-282019-2020
Solihull0 – 0Barrow
2019-09-142019-2020
Barrow3 – 0Solihull
2018-12-222018-2019
Solihull0 – 1Barrow
2018-09-012018-2019
Barrow1 – 2Solihull
2017-12-302017-2018
Barrow1 – 2Solihull
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Solihull
vs
Barrow
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.5%→Latest 55.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 58.6%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Solihull's 10 matches and 3 of Barrow's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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