Southend vs Fylde Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roots Hall
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
4.34
Away Win
3.33
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Southend
Fylde
D. Oldaker (L. Chambers-Parillon) ⚽
2'
13'
⚽ (OG) B. Goodliffe
R. Colclough ⚽
16'
D. Oldaker 🟨
41'
B. Goodliffe ⚽
51'
53'
🟨 T. Whelan
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Southend edge head-to-head, Fylde edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fylde slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Fylde arrive with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, while Southend have secured three victories in their corresponding home sample over the same period. Southend have found the net in every one of their last five matches at home, though they have kept just a single clean sheet during that identical run. Fylde hold a slight advantage in form, while Southend rate stronger on head-to-head. Southend won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 28 January 2025, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Fylde's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Southend's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points, while Fylde's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Southend
Southend's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Southend win
Latest market chance 49.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.7% → 49.8%
−3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 23.3%
+0.4 pts
Fylde win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.4% → 26.9%
+3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Southend
Draw
Fylde
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SouthendFylde
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
5th
11
Games Played
11
1.91
Points/Game
1.82
2.36
Goals/Game
1.91
1.55
Conceded/Game
1.36
11.4
Shots/Game
8.0
6.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Southend at home (6 matches) vs Fylde away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.14
2.17
Goals/Game
2.14
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.43
67%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Southend
Home form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fylde
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Southend Wins
2
Draws
0
Fylde Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.5
Southend2 – 0Fylde
Fylde2 – 1Southend
Fylde0 – 2Southend
Southend1 – 2Fylde
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Southendvs
Fylde
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 64.4%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 64.9%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?