Southend vs Tamworth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Roots Hall
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.46
Away Win
4.86
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Southend
Tamworth
L. Chambers-Parillon (D. Oldaker) ⚽
60'
P. Omochere (K. McAdam) ⚽
68'
70'
⚽ N. Tshikuna (T. McGlinchey)
S. Austin ⚽
82'
D. Oldaker 🟨
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Southend stronger
Southend rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Southend stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southend stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southend slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Tamworth have struggled on the road with just two draws from their last five away fixtures, whereas Southend have enjoyed a much more positive run at home with three wins and only one defeat in that same span. Southend have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Southend rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Tamworth won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 20 December 2025, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Southend's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.25 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Southend's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Tamworth's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Southend stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Southend
Southend's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Southend win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Southend win
Latest market chance 60.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
61.1% → 60.0%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.0% → 21.4%
+0.4 pts
Tamworth win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.9% → 18.6%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Southend
Draw
Tamworth
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SouthendTamworth
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
22nd
7
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
0.71
2.00
Goals/Game
1.86
1.43
Conceded/Game
2.71
11.4
Shots/Game
11.3
6.6
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Southend at home (6 matches) vs Tamworth away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.57
2.17
Goals/Game
1.43
1.83
Conceded/Game
3.00
67%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Southend
Home form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tamworth
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Southend Wins
2
Draws
1
Tamworth Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Tamworth2 – 1Southend
Southend2 – 0Tamworth
Tamworth1 – 1Southend
Southend2 – 0Tamworth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Southendvs
Tamworth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.1%→Latest 64.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 60.9%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Southend's 10 matches and 3 of Tamworth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?