Sutton vs Forest Green Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VBS Community Stadium
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.76
Draw
3.32
Away Win
2.56
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Sutton
Forest Green
10'
⚽ J. Clarke
J. Knight 🟨
17'
18'
🟨 F. Sass
J. Taylor 🟨
42'
43'
🟨 J. Marquez
48'
⚽ O. Ewing
52'
🟨 F. Sass
52'
🟥 F. Sass
B. Njoku ⚽
72'
73'
⚽ K. McAllister (J. Clarke)
C. Carter ⚽
79'
89'
🟨 T. Campbell
90+2'
🟨 J. Clarke
T. Babalola ⚽
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Forest Green stronger
Forest Green rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forest Green slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forest Green stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Forest Green have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Sutton sit on three victories in their home sample of five matches. Sutton have found the net in three of their last five home games but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Forest Green rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Sutton's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points, while Forest Green's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Forest Green stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sutton unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
45%
Forest Green yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Forest Green
Forest Green's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Forest Green win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sutton win
Latest market chance 34.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.7% → 34.3%
+1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.7% → 28.5%
+1.8 pts
Forest Green win
Latest market chance 37.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
40.7% → 37.3%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sutton
Draw
Forest Green
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SuttonForest Green
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
14th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.44
1.11
Goals/Game
1.44
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.56
6.2
Shots/Game
9.8
3.0
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Sutton at home (6 matches) vs Forest Green away (5 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.60
1.33
Goals/Game
1.40
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.40
50%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sutton
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Forest Green
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sutton Wins
1
Draws
1
Forest Green Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Sutton1 – 1Forest Green
Forest Green4 – 0Sutton
Forest Green2 – 1Sutton
Sutton1 – 2Forest Green
Forest Green0 – 1Sutton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Suttonvs
Forest Green
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 51.0%−5.3 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 56.3%−3.4 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Sutton's 10 matches and 1 of Forest Green's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?