Tamworth vs Wealdstone Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Lamb Ground
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
4.12
Away Win
3.37
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Tamworth
Wealdstone
11'
⚽ O. Olomola (A. Francis-Clarke)
B. Milnes 🟨
36'
56'
🟨 J. J. Harris
68'
🟥 C. McAvoy
N. Tshikuna ⚽ (P)
69'
R. Howley 🟨
88'
J. Hutchinson (T. McGlinchey) ⚽
90+7'
90+10'
🟨 D. Kadji
90+10'
🟨 M. Barrett
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wealdstone edge recent form, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wealdstone slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Wealdstone have secured two wins and drawn one in their last five away outings, while Tamworth mirror that exact record with two victories, a draw, and two defeats from their last five home matches. Tamworth have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Wealdstone hold a slight advantage in form, while head-to-head is closely matched. Wealdstone won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 10 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Tamworth's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.25 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tamworth win
Latest market chance 48.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.0% → 48.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.3%
±0.0 pts
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 27.8%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tamworth
Draw
Wealdstone
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TamworthWealdstone
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
19th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
1.25
2.75
Conceded/Game
1.62
11.3
Shots/Game
7.9
5.4
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Tamworth at home (5 matches) vs Wealdstone away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.14
2.00
Goals/Game
1.43
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.29
60%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tamworth
Home form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wealdstone
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tamworth Wins
2
Draws
1
Wealdstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Wealdstone3 – 2Tamworth
Tamworth1 – 1Wealdstone
Tamworth4 – 1Wealdstone
Wealdstone0 – 1Tamworth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tamworthvs
Wealdstone
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 62.5%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 63.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Tamworth's 10 matches and 2 of Wealdstone's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?