Wealdstone vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Grosvenor Vale
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.71
Draw
3.94
Away Win
4.49
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Wealdstone
Gateshead
O. Olomola (L. Norris) ⚽
22'
L. Norris ⚽ (P)
33'
J. Wells-Morrison (D. Chesters) ⚽
47'
60'
🟨 K. Lewis-Burgess
M. Barrett 🟨
65'
83'
🟨 A. Lankshear
J. Cook ⚽
84'
89'
🟨 K. Ferguson
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wealdstone edge recent form, Gateshead edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wealdstone stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gateshead stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead arrive at this National League fixture having suffered five consecutive defeats on the road, while Wealdstone have managed just two draws from their last five outings at home. At home, Wealdstone have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Wealdstone rate stronger on form, while Gateshead rate stronger on head-to-head. Gateshead won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Wealdstone's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Wealdstone's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Gateshead's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Gateshead losing run
0
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Wealdstone
Wealdstone's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wealdstone win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wealdstone win
Latest market chance 55.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.9% → 55.0%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 23.9%
+0.1 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 21.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
20.2% → 21.0%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wealdstone
Draw
Gateshead
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WealdstoneGateshead
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
24th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
0.44
1.22
Goals/Game
0.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.22
7.9
Shots/Game
6.1
3.3
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Wealdstone at home (5 matches) vs Gateshead away (6 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
0.00
1.40
Goals/Game
0.33
1.80
Conceded/Game
2.67
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wealdstone
Home form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wealdstone Wins
0
Draws
1
Gateshead Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Gateshead1 – 0Wealdstone
Wealdstone2 – 2Gateshead
Wealdstone0 – 4Gateshead
Gateshead1 – 0Wealdstone
Wealdstone2 – 4Gateshead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wealdstonevs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.2%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Wealdstone's 10 matches and 1 of Gateshead's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?