Yeovil vs Boston Utd Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Huish Park
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.76
Draw
3.87
Away Win
4.37
Match Report
Full Time
6 – 0
Match Events ?
Yeovil
Boston Utd
R. Jones (H. Muller) ⚽
34'
B. McGavin (S. Spasov) ⚽
37'
J. Daly (R. Jones) ⚽
42'
J. Powell (J. Norville-Williams) ⚽
45+2'
49'
🟨 S. Sachdev
52'
🟨 L. Sutton
J. Daly 🟨
58'
59'
🟨 C. McBride
M. Obeng (S. Walker) ⚽
73'
J. Powell ⚽ (P)
76'
J. Norville-Williams 🟨
83'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Yeovil edge recent form, Boston Utd edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Yeovil stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boston Utd stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Yeovil have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Boston Utd have managed two wins and two draws in that same span away from home. The hosts have found the net in five consecutive matches yet have kept just one clean sheet during that identical period. Yeovil rate stronger on form, while Boston Utd rate stronger on head-to-head. Boston Utd won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Yeovil's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.25 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Yeovil's implied win probability has risen by 7.9 percentage points, while Boston Utd's implied win probability has fallen by 7.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Yeovil
Yeovil's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Yeovil win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Yeovil win
Latest market chance 52.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.8% → 52.7%
+7.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 24.6%
−0.6 pts
Boston Utd win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
30.0% → 22.7%
−7.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Yeovil
Draw
Boston Utd
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
YeovilBoston Utd
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
19th
11
Games Played
11
1.73
Points/Game
1.09
1.82
Goals/Game
1.27
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.36
8.4
Shots/Game
10.3
4.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Yeovil at home (7 matches) vs Boston Utd away (6 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
2.71
Goals/Game
1.50
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.00
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Yeovil
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Boston Utd
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Yeovil Wins
2
Draws
0
Boston Utd Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Boston Utd2 – 1Yeovil
Yeovil2 – 1Boston Utd
Yeovil0 – 3Boston Utd
Boston Utd1 – 3Yeovil
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Yeovilvs
Boston Utd
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 57.0%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?