Brentford vs Liverpool Head to Head, Prediction
Brentford Community Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.73
Draw
3.92
Away Win
2.54
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Brentford edge defence, Liverpool edge head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Brentford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Brentford win
Latest market chance 36.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.0% → 36.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 25.0%
±0.0 pts
Liverpool win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.0% → 39.0%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Brentford
Draw
Liverpool
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BrentfordLiverpool
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
1.80
2.00
Goals/Game
1.40
0.80
Conceded/Game
0.80
16.2
Shots/Game
15.2
4.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Brentford at home (3 matches) vs Liverpool away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.33
2.33
Goals/Game
1.67
0.33
Conceded/Game
0.67
67%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Brentford
Home form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Liverpool
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Brentford Wins
1
Draws
1
Liverpool Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Liverpool1 – 1Brentford
Brentford3 – 2Liverpool
Brentford0 – 2Liverpool
Liverpool2 – 0Brentford
Brentford1 – 4Liverpool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Brentfordvs
Liverpool
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 60.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.9%→Latest 62.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Brentford's 10 matches and 5 of Liverpool's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?