Chelsea vs Brighton Head to Head, Prediction
Stamford Bridge
Sun 30 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
3.84
Away Win
3.82
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 3
Match Events ?
Chelsea
Brighton
R. Lavia ⚽
4'
P. Neto (M. Rogers) ⚽
14'
Joao Pedro (J. Hato) ⚽
32'
35'
⚽ M. Yalcouye
Wesley Fofana 🟨
55'
63'
⚽ (OG) Joao Pedro
70'
🟨 Lewis Dunk
C. Palmer (Joao Pedro) ⚽
74'
89'
🟨 Olivier Boscagli
90+1'
🟨 Costinha
90'
⚽ P. Gross
Match Statistics ?
26%
Ball Possession
74%
17
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
7
6
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Chelsea (3-4-2-1)
Emiliano Martínez
Wesley Fofana
Maxence Lacroix
Levi Colwill
Pedro Neto
Malo Gusto
Roméo Lavia
Jorrel Hato
Cole Palmer
Morgan Rogers
João Pedro
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen
Mats Wieffer
Luka Vušković
Lewis Dunk
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Pascal Groß
Olivier Boscagli
Diego Gómez
Malick Yalcouyé
Maxim De Cuyper
Charalampos Kostoulas
Player Ratings ?
Chelsea
Pedro NetoM8.5
Morgan RogersF8.3
Emiliano MartínezG7.9
Brighton
Malick YalcouyéM7.7
Mats WiefferD7.5
Pascal GroßM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Brighton
Brighton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Brighton an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Chelsea win
50.8%
Draw
24.6%
Brighton win
24.6%
Based on 12 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
ChelseaBrighton
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
5th
1
Games Played
1
3.00
Points/Game
3.00
3.00
Goals/Game
4.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
14.4
Shots/Game
19.0
5.2
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Chelsea at home (2 matches) vs Brighton away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
3.00
Goals/Game
4.00
2.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chelsea
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brighton
Away form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea Wins
2
Draws
0
Brighton Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
Brighton3 – 0Chelsea
Chelsea1 – 3Brighton
Brighton3 – 0Chelsea
Chelsea4 – 2Brighton
Brighton1 – 2Chelsea
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chelseavs
Brighton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
9 of Chelsea's 10 matches and 9 of Brighton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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