Everton vs Ipswich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.86
Away Win
4.35
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Everton
Ipswich
Thierno Barry (James Tarkowski) ⚽
11'
35'
🟨 Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Vitaliy Mykolenko 🟨
42'
67'
🟥 Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
90+2'
🟨 Zian Flemming
Harrison Armstrong 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
21
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1)
J. Pickford
A. Maitland-Niles
J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall
J. Grealish
T. Barry
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
C. Walton
A. Ouattara
I. Diop
D. O'Shea
L. Davis
S. Lukić
E. Palacios
A. Fatawu
J. Enciso
J. Clarke
Emersonn
Player Ratings ?
Everton
J. TarkowskiD8.3
A. Maitland-NilesD7.9
J. PickfordG7.7
Ipswich
I. DiopD7.0
A. OuattaraD7.0
D. O'SheaD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Everton edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Everton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ipswich have recorded just one away win and a single draw in their last five outings, while Everton have secured only one home victory and two draws from their corresponding recent sample. Everton have found the net in all five of their home matches yet have kept just a solitary clean sheet during that same period. Both sides carry injury concerns ahead of kickoff, with Everton facing one certain absence and two doubts while Ipswich are similarly hampered by one confirmed out and one player in doubt. Everton rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Everton's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Ipswich's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Everton
Everton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Everton win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Everton win
Latest market chance 53.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
56.2% → 53.0%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.9%
+0.2 pts
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 22.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
19.1% → 22.1%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Everton
Draw
Ipswich
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EvertonIpswich
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
10th
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
1.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.50
16.0
Shots/Game
11.6
4.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Everton at home (3 matches) vs Ipswich away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Everton
Home form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ipswich
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Everton Wins
1
Draws
2
Ipswich Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Everton2 – 2Ipswich
Ipswich0 – 2Everton
Everton1 – 2Ipswich
Ipswich0 – 0Everton
Ipswich2 – 0Everton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Evertonvs
Ipswich
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 55.2%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 56.1%+4.0 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Everton's 10 matches and 6 of Ipswich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?