Fulham vs Man United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Craven Cottage
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.54
Draw
3.88
Away Win
2.03
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Fulham
Man United
Josh King 🟨
45'
Timothy Castagne 🟨
50'
Lisandro Martínez ⚽ (OG)
63'
Rodrigo Muniz 🟨
85'
89'
⚽ Matheus Cunha (Patrick Dorgu)
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
29
6
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
13
9
Fouls
5
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
T. Castagne
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
S. Berge
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Man United (4-2-3-1)
S. Lammens
Diogo Dalot
H. Maguire
Lisandro Martínez
L. Shaw
K. Mainoo
Y. Tielemans
B. Mbeumo
Bruno Fernandes
M. Rashford
Matheus Cunha
Player Ratings ?
Fulham
B. LenoG7.4
A. IwobiM7.2
A. RobinsonD7.1
Man United
Matheus CunhaF8.2
S. LammensG7.5
B. MbeumoM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man United
Man United rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Man United a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Man United have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Fulham have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. Fulham have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. The Cottagers face two confirmed absences and one doubtful player, whereas the Red Devils carry four confirmed absences and two players in doubt. Man United rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Man United won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 1 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Fulham's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Man United a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fulham win
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.4%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.1%
−0.2 pts
Man United win
Latest market chance 47.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.4% → 47.6%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fulham
Draw
Man United
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FulhamMan United
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
13th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
14.4
Shots/Game
22.6
4.4
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Fulham at home (3 matches) vs Man United away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
0.67
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fulham
Home form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Man United
Away form
W
D
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fulham Wins
1
Draws
1
Man United Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Man United3 – 2Fulham
Fulham1 – 1Man United
Fulham0 – 1Man United
Man United1 – 0Fulham
Man United1 – 2Fulham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fulhamvs
Man United
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 60.8%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 62.8%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Fulham's 10 matches and 6 of Man United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?