Leeds vs Crystal Palace Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Elland Road
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
4.04
Away Win
5.02
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Jayden Bogle 🟨
38'
Ao Tanaka 🟨
62'
64'
🟨 Adam Wharton
81'
🟨 Yeremy Pino
90+3'
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Leeds (3-5-2)
J. Trafford
J. Justin
N. Elvedi
T. Muharemović
J. Bogle
A. Stach
E. Ampadu
A. Tanaka
G. Gudmundsson
D. Calvert-Lewin
N. Okafor
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)
W. Benítez
C. Richards
T. Tomiyasu
J. Canvot
A. Khalaili
Q. Timber
A. Wharton
T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
Yeremy Pino
J. Strand Larsen
Player Ratings ?
Leeds
J. TraffordG7.5
T. MuharemovićD7.4
J. JustinD7.2
Crystal Palace
J. CanvotD6.9
C. RichardsD6.9
I. SarrF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Leeds
Leeds rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Crystal Palace edge head-to-head, giving Leeds an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leeds stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leeds stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leeds stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crystal Palace slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leeds have enjoyed a perfect home record in their last five outings with four wins and no defeats, while Crystal Palace have struggled away from home with just one win and three losses during the same span. The Whites have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept just two clean sheets in that identical sample period. Both squads face selection headaches with three players unavailable for each side ahead of kickoff. Leeds rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Crystal Palace hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Leeds's implied win probability has risen by 11.9 percentage points, while Crystal Palace's implied win probability has fallen by 8.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Leeds.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Leeds
Leeds's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leeds win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leeds win
Latest market chance 55.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.0% → 55.9%
+11.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.3% → 24.3%
−3.0 pts
Crystal Palace win
Latest market chance 19.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
28.6% → 19.8%
−8.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leeds
Draw
Crystal Palace
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeedsCrystal Palace
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
17th
4
Games Played
4
2.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.75
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.75
12.2
Shots/Game
10.6
3.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Leeds at home (3 matches) vs Crystal Palace away (3 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leeds
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crystal Palace
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leeds Wins
1
Draws
2
Crystal Palace Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Crystal Palace0 – 0Leeds
Leeds4 – 1Crystal Palace
Leeds1 – 5Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace2 – 1Leeds
Crystal Palace0 – 0Leeds
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leedsvs
Crystal Palace
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
2.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 55.9%+5.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 55.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Leeds's 10 matches and 6 of Crystal Palace's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?