Man City vs Coventry Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Premier League
Man City
VS
Coventry
Etihad Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.15
Draw
9.13
Away Win
15.88
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Man City
Coventry
19'
🟨 Milan van Ewijk
E. Haaland (A. Semenyo) ⚽
26'
Abdukodir Khusanov 🟨
90+5'
90+2'
🟨 Ethan Pinnock
Match Statistics ?
78%
Ball Possession
22%
15
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Man City (4-2-3-1)
G. Donnarumma
A. Khusanov
R. Dias
M. Guehi
J. Gvardiol
E. Fernandez
E. Anderson
A. Semenyo
R. Cherki
I. Ndiaye
E. Haaland
Coventry (3-4-2-1)
C. Rushworth
A. Amenda
B. Thomas
E. Pinnock
M. van Ewijk
F. Onyeka
M. Grimes
J. Dasilva
J. Rudoni
E. Mason-Clark
T. Awoniyi
Player Ratings ?
Man City
Gianluigi DonnarummaG8.9
Erling HaalandF8.7
Elliot AndersonM8.3
Coventry
Bobby ThomasD8.5
Carl RushworthG7.2
Ethan PinnockD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man City
Man City rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Coventry edge head-to-head, giving Man City an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Coventry slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Man City
Man City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Man City win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man City win
Latest market chance 81.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
78.7% → 81.5%
+2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
13.3% → 11.7%
−1.6 pts
Coventry win
Latest market chance 6.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
8.0% → 6.8%
−1.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man City
Draw
Coventry
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man City
Coventry
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
17th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
3.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.6
Shots/Game
10.2
5.4
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Man City at home (3 matches) vs Coventry away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.67
Goals/Game
0.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man City
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Coventry
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man City Wins
1
Draws
2
Coventry Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
2002-03-032001-2002
Man City4 – 2Coventry
2001-09-192001-2002
Coventry4 – 3Man City
2001-01-012000-2001
Coventry1 – 1Man City
2000-08-262000-2001
Man City1 – 2Coventry
1996-01-201995-1996
Man City1 – 1Coventry
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man City
vs
Coventry
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
86.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
70.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
50.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 70.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
10 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.7%→Latest 48.5%−3.2 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
9 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Man City's 10 matches and 8 of Coventry's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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