Man City vs Ipswich Head to Head, Prediction

Etihad Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.23
Draw
7.70
Away Win
13.60
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man City
Man City rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Man City a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man City stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man City win
Latest market chance 79.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
79.2% → 79.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 13.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.3% → 13.3%
±0.0 pts
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 7.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.5% → 7.5%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
16 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man City
Draw
Ipswich
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man City
Ipswich
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
11th
5
Games Played
5
3.00
Points/Game
1.20
2.60
Goals/Game
1.40
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.20
13.6
Shots/Game
11.6
5.4
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Man City at home (3 matches) vs Ipswich away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man City
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Ipswich
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man City Wins
3
Draws
0
Ipswich Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
2025-01-192024-2025
Ipswich0 – 6Man City
2024-08-242024-2025
Man City4 – 1Ipswich
2001-05-072000-2001
Ipswich2 – 1Man City
2000-11-252000-2001
Man City2 – 3Ipswich
1999-10-271999-2000
Man City1 – 0Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man City
vs
Ipswich
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
69.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
49.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
50.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 69.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 27 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 27 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Man City's 10 matches and 5 of Ipswich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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