Newcastle vs Brighton Head to Head, Prediction
St. James' Park
Sat 02 May 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.60
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Newcastle
Brighton
W. Osula (J. Murphy) ⚽
12'
22'
🟨 Joël Veltman
D. Burn (Bruno Guimaraes) ⚽
24'
39'
🟨 Kaoru Mitoma
Dan Burn 🟨
53'
61'
⚽ J. Hinshelwood (D. Welbeck)
Sandro Tonali 🟨
85'
Yoane Wissa 🟨
87'
90+2'
🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke
H. Barnes (Y. Wissa) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
32%
Ball Possession
68%
13
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
10
10
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Newcastle (4-2-3-1)
N. Pope
L. Miley
M. Thiaw
S. Botman
D. Burn
Bruno Guimaraes
S. Tonali
J. Murphy
J. Willock
Joelinton
W. Osula
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
P. Gross
C. Baleba
Y. Minteh
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
D. Welbeck
Player Ratings ?
Newcastle
Sven BotmanD7.6
William OsulaF7.6
Jacob MurphyM7.5
Brighton
Jack HinshelwoodM7.3
Georginio RutterF7.3
Carlos BalebaM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Brighton
Brighton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Brighton an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Brighton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Brighton stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Not enough odds history yet to show market movement for this fixture.
Team Comparison
NewcastleBrighton
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
5th
0
Games Played
0
0.00
Points/Game
0.00
—
Goals/Game
—
—
Conceded/Game
—
10.2
Shots/Game
19.0
3.6
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Newcastle at home (3 matches) vs Brighton away (2 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
4.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Newcastle
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Brighton
Away form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
5 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle Wins
0
Draws
2
Brighton Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Brighton2 – 1Newcastle
Brighton1 – 1Newcastle
Newcastle0 – 1Brighton
Newcastle1 – 1Brighton
Brighton3 – 1Newcastle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Newcastlevs
Brighton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
10 of Newcastle's 10 matches and 10 of Brighton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?