Academico Viseu vs Guimaraes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.88
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.05
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Academico Viseu
Guimaraes
28'
🟨 Lohann Doucet
Lorougnon Gohi ⚽
53'
67'
⚽ Gonçalo Nogueira (Alan de Souza Guimarães)
75'
🟨 Arnel Jakupović
André Clóvis 🟨
76'
Alejandro Mestanza 🟨
80'
Luis Silva 🟨
86'
88'
🟨 Toni Borevković
Mohamed Bouldini ⚽
90+3'
90+5'
🟥 Alioune Ndoye
Nils Mortimer 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
22
4
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
8
14
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Academico Viseu (4-1-4-1)
Ewerton
Robinho
A. Correia
N. Michelis
G. Costa
Luís Silva
João Guilherme
S. Messeguem
C. Kahraman
L. Gohi
André Clóvis
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
O. Zych
T. Strata
Thiago Balieiro
A. Sidibé
João Mendes
Beni
L. Doucet
Gustavo
Samu
O. Camara
A. Jakupovic
Player Ratings ?
Academico Viseu
EwertonG8.0
L. GohiM7.9
M. BouldiniF7.7
Guimaraes
Gonçalo NogueiraM8.1
A. JakupovicF6.9
BeniM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Guimaraes edge defence, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Guimaraes stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Guimaraes have managed just a solitary victory in their last five away fixtures across multiple campaigns, while Academico Viseu have endured two defeats in their current season outings at home. Academico Viseu have failed to find the net and kept a clean sheet in none of their last two matches at this venue. Guimaraes rate stronger on defence, while form and attack are closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Guimaraes
Guimaraes's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Guimaraes win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Academico Viseu win
Latest market chance 25.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.9% → 25.6%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.2%
−0.5 pts
Guimaraes win
Latest market chance 46.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
44.4% → 46.2%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Academico Viseu
Draw
Guimaraes
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Academico ViseuGuimaraes
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
0.80
1.00
Goals/Game
0.60
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
9.3
Shots/Game
19.1
3.1
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Academico Viseu at home (4 matches) vs Guimaraes away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Academico Viseu
Home form
L
L
Winless in last 2 at home
Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for Academico Viseu.
0.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
0/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
0/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Guimaraes
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Academico Viseu and Guimaraes.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Academico Viseuvs
Guimaraes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/5
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
2/5
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/5
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.5%→Latest 45.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 50.6%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Academico Viseu have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of Guimaraes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?