Arouca vs Estrela Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.53
Away Win
3.25
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Arouca edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arouca stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Arouca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arouca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Estrela have remained unbeaten in their last five away outings, securing just a solitary victory amidst four draws, while Arouca boast three wins from their most recent five home fixtures but have also suffered one defeat in that same span. Arouca have found the net in all five of their latest home matches, though they have managed only a single clean sheet during that identical run of five games at this venue. Arouca rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Arouca won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 19 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Estrela's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Arouca
No current absences reported
Estrela
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Arouca win
43.2%
Draw
27.7%
Estrela win
29.1%
Based on 9 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
AroucaEstrela

Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
1.38
1.50
Goals/Game
2.12
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.12
10.9
Shots/Game
13.1
3.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Arouca at home (3 matches) vs Estrela away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.33
Goals/Game
2.75
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
67%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Arouca
Home form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Estrela
Away form
D
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arouca Wins
2
Draws
1
Estrela Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Arouca1 – 0Estrela
Estrela3 – 1Arouca
Arouca1 – 0Estrela
Estrela2 – 1Arouca
Arouca0 – 0Estrela
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aroucavs
Estrela

Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
2 of Arouca's 10 matches and 2 of Estrela's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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