Benfica vs Estoril Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 20:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.14
Draw
6.28
Away Win
10.12
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Benfica
Estoril
V. Pavlidis ⚽
40'
C. Lenglet (T. Araujo) ⚽
51'
75'
🟨 Ismael Sierra Arnal
82'
⚽ Y. Begraoui (F. Medrano)
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
25
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
0
14
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1)
S. Soares
A. Bah
T. Araujo
C. Lenglet
S. Dahl
L. Barreiro
E. Barrenechea
Rafa Silva
G. Sudakov
G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis
Estoril (3-4-3)
J. Robles
S. Andreou
Ferro
I. Sierra
R. Sanchez
Xeka
A. Tsoungui
F. Medrano
A. Lacximicant
Y. Begraoui
J. Carvalho
Player Ratings ?
Benfica
Clément LengletD8.2
Tomás AraújoD8.0
Vangelis PavlidisF7.9
Estoril
Joel RoblesG9.0
Yanis BegraouiF7.6
FerroD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benfica
Benfica rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Benfica a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Benfica
Benfica's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Benfica win as more likely than it did 1 day ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benfica win
Latest market chance 82.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
80.7% → 82.0%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
12.8% → 11.8%
−1.0 pts
Estoril win
Latest market chance 6.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
6.6% → 6.2%
−0.4 pts
13 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BenficaEstoril
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
17th
2
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
0.33
4.50
Goals/Game
0.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
19.1
Shots/Game
12.7
7.1
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Benfica at home (3 matches) vs Estoril away (4 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
2.33
Goals/Game
0.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benfica
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Estoril
Away form
L
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benfica Wins
5
Draws
0
Estoril Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Estoril1 – 3Benfica
Benfica3 – 1Estoril
Estoril1 – 2Benfica
Benfica3 – 0Estoril
Benfica3 – 1Estoril
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Benficavs
Estoril
Recent Scoring Profile
2.80
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.8%→Latest 69.5%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.8%→Latest 47.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of Benfica's 10 matches and 7 of Estoril's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?