Benfica vs Gil Vicente Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.13
Draw
10.08
Away Win
21.36
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Benfica
Gil Vicente
7'
⚽ Hector Hernandez (Gil Pinto Martins)
Enzo Barrenechea 🟨
12'
26'
🟨 Hector Hernandez
Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽
29'
João Palhinha 🟨
63'
70'
🟨 Lucão
Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽ (P)
87'
Gianluca Prestianni (Claudio Echeverri) ⚽
90+3'
90+5'
🟨 Ricardo Esgaio
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
17
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Goal
2
14
Corner Kicks
0
11
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1)
Samuel Soares
Daniel Banjaqui
Tomás Araújo
C. Lenglet
S. Dahl
E. Barrenechea
L. Barreiro
Rafa
G. Prestianni
A. Schjelderup
V. Pavlidis
Gil Vicente (5-4-1)
Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu
David Moreira
Gil Pinto Martins
Murilo
Zé Carlos
A. Lausen
A. Moreira
Héctor Hernández
Player Ratings ?
Benfica
G. PrestianniM8.2
V. PavlidisF8.1
C. LengletD7.2
Gil Vicente
Héctor HernándezF7.2
Gil Pinto MartinsD6.8
M. Elimbi GilbertD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Benfica
Benfica rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Benfica a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Benfica slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Benfica arrive at home with an impressive unbeaten run from their last five outings, having secured three wins and two draws without defeat, while Gil Vicente have struggled away in the same period, managing only three draws and two losses across their last five matches. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures but have kept just one clean sheet during that same span. Benfica rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Benfica won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 2 March 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Gil Vicente's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Benfica's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Gil Vicente's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Benfica a strong edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Benfica
Benfica's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Benfica win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Benfica win
Latest market chance 84.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
82.0% → 84.7%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 10.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
12.6% → 10.8%
−1.8 pts
Gil Vicente win
Latest market chance 4.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
5.4% → 4.5%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Benfica
Draw
Gil Vicente
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BenficaGil Vicente
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
4
2.60
Points/Game
1.75
3.60
Goals/Game
0.75
0.60
Conceded/Game
0.25
19.1
Shots/Game
14.0
7.1
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Benfica at home (3 matches) vs Gil Vicente away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.50
2.33
Goals/Game
0.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Benfica
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gil Vicente
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Benfica Wins
5
Draws
0
Gil Vicente Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Gil Vicente1 – 2Benfica
Benfica2 – 1Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente0 – 3Benfica
Benfica5 – 1Gil Vicente
Benfica3 – 0Gil Vicente
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Benficavs
Gil Vicente
Recent Scoring Profile
3.10
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 64.4%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 39.1%→Latest 37.9%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Benfica's 10 matches and 6 of Gil Vicente's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?