Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.30
Draw
3.37
Away Win
1.91
Match Prediction
Data favours
Santa Clara
Santa Clara rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Santa Clara an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Santa Clara have secured two wins from their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Casa Pia have suffered four defeats in their last five home outings. At home, Casa Pia have scored in just three of their last five matches and have kept zero clean sheets during that same recent spell. Santa Clara rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Santa Clara.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Casa Pia losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Casa Pia points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Casa Pia
No current absences reported
Santa Clara
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Casa Pia win
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.9%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.7%
±0.0 pts
Santa Clara win
Latest market chance 49.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.5% → 49.5%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Casa PiaSanta Clara
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
4th
8
Games Played
7
0.50
Points/Game
2.14
0.50
Goals/Game
1.57
2.50
Conceded/Game
0.57
10.3
Shots/Game
13.1
2.7
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Casa Pia at home (4 matches) vs Santa Clara away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
2.33
0.50
Goals/Game
1.33
4.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Casa Pia
Home form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Santa Clara
Away form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Casa Pia Wins
1
Draws
1
Santa Clara Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.8
Casa Pia0 – 0Santa Clara
Santa Clara1 – 0Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 – 1Casa Pia
Casa Pia0 – 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia2 – 1Santa Clara
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Casa Piavs
Santa Clara
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded / game
0.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 38.2%→Latest 39.8%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 43.0%→Latest 44.0%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Casa Pia's 10 matches and 3 of Santa Clara's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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