Nacional vs Estrela Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 30 Aug 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.31
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Nacional
Estrela
Wesley Gasolina (W. Kokolo) ⚽
3'
Ze Vitor 🟨
45'
45'
⚽ (P) I. Stoica
Williams Kokolo 🟨
48'
62'
⚽ A. Marcus (G. Doue)
Pablo Ruan (Liziero) ⚽
66'
83'
⚽ L. Antonetti (G. Doue)
86'
🟨 Leandro Antonetti
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Nacional (3-4-2-1)
R. Marin
Leo Santos
Matheus Dias
Ze Vitor
Wesley Gasolina
Liziero
F. Soares
W. Kokolo
M. Baeza
Daniel Junior
Pablo Ruan
Estrela (4-3-3)
Leo Linck
M. Scholze
Luan Patrick
S. Lekovic
Rafa Soares
L. Zvonarek
G. Doue
Robinho
A. Marcus
L. Antonetti
I. Stoica
Player Ratings ?
Nacional
Wesley GasolinaM7.9
Pablo Messias CardozoF7.6
LizieroM7.3
Estrela
Abraham MarcusF8.3
Eddy DouéM7.3
Ianis StoicaF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nacional
Nacional rate stronger in recent form and defence; attack and head-to-head are closely matched, giving Nacional a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nacional stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nacional stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Nacional win
40.2%
Draw
29.1%
Estrela win
30.7%
Based on 13 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
NacionalEstrela
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
11th
3
Games Played
2
1.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
10.7
Shots/Game
13.1
2.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Nacional at home (6 matches) vs Estrela away (4 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
2.75
2.83
Conceded/Game
2.50
17%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nacional
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Estrela
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nacional Wins
1
Draws
1
Estrela Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Nacional2 – 0Estrela
Estrela1 – 1Nacional
Nacional0 – 1Estrela
Estrela2 – 0Nacional
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nacionalvs
Estrela
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
7 of Nacional's 10 matches and 8 of Estrela's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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