Santa Clara vs Sp Braga Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio de São Miguel
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.64
Draw
3.19
Away Win
2.24
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Santa Clara
Sp Braga
Tiago Ribeiro 🟨
29'
36'
🟨 Adrian Bajrami
56'
🟨 João Moutinho
Lucas Soares 🟨
69'
Lucas França 🟨
73'
Dani Borges 🟨
77'
81'
🟨 Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
8
1
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Santa Clara (4-3-3)
Lucas França
Lucas Soares
Pedro Pacheco
Emanuel Fernandes
Guilherme Romão
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Pedro Ferreira
Tiago Ribeiro
Vinícius Lopes
Gonçalo Paciência
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Sp Braga (3-4-3)
Bernardo Fontes
A. Barišić
Vitor Carvalho
A. Bajrami
Víctor Gómez
João Moutinho
J. Gorby
Gabri Martínez
Pau Victor
J. Milošević
Ricardo Horta
Player Ratings ?
Santa Clara
Pedro PachecoD7.5
Welinton TorrãoF7.0
Vinícius LopesF6.8
Sp Braga
Gabri MartínezM7.0
Ricardo HortaF7.0
A. BajramiD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Santa Clara edge recent form, attack and defence, Sp Braga edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Santa Clara slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Santa Clara have enjoyed a robust run at home with four wins and no defeats in their last five outings across seasons, while Sp Braga have been less consistent on the road with just one victory from five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches and have kept three clean sheets during that same period. Santa Clara rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Sp Braga rate stronger on head-to-head. Santa Clara won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 26 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Sp Braga's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Santa Clara's implied win probability has risen by 0.2 percentage points, while Sp Braga's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Sp Braga
Sp Braga's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sp Braga win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Santa Clara win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.5%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.2% → 30.0%
+0.8 pts
Sp Braga win
Latest market chance 43.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
44.4% → 43.5%
−0.9 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Santa ClaraSp Braga
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
2.33
Points/Game
2.17
1.83
Goals/Game
1.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.83
13.1
Shots/Game
12.5
3.7
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Santa Clara at home (4 matches) vs Sp Braga away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.25
1.75
Goals/Game
1.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Santa Clara
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sp Braga
Away form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Santa Clara Wins
1
Draws
1
Sp Braga Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Santa Clara2 – 1Sp Braga
Sp Braga1 – 0Santa Clara
Sp Braga1 – 1Santa Clara
Santa Clara0 – 2Sp Braga
Sp Braga5 – 3Santa Clara
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Santa Claravs
Sp Braga
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.8%→Latest 38.5%−2.3 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.7%→Latest 44.9%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Santa Clara's 10 matches and 4 of Sp Braga's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?