Arbroath vs Dunfermline Head to Head, Prediction
Gayfield Park
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.75
Draw
3.22
Away Win
2.63
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Arbroath
Dunfermline
53'
🟨 A. Amade
M. McKenna (T. O'Brien) ⚽
54'
67'
⚽ J. Cooper (R. Fraser)
80'
🟨 O. Adams
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Arbroath edge head-to-head, Dunfermline edge attack, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Dunfermline slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arbroath stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arbroath win
Latest market chance 34.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.7% → 34.4%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 29.7%
−0.1 pts
Dunfermline win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.5% → 35.9%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Arbroath
Draw
Dunfermline
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArbroathDunfermline
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.25
0.75
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
3.9
Shots/Game
11.7
2.1
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Arbroath at home (4 matches) vs Dunfermline away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arbroath
Home form
L
W
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dunfermline
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arbroath Wins
2
Draws
1
Dunfermline Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Dunfermline0 – 0Arbroath
Arbroath4 – 2Dunfermline
Dunfermline1 – 2Arbroath
Arbroath0 – 5Dunfermline
Arbroath2 – 3Dunfermline
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arbroathvs
Dunfermline
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
5/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.4%→Latest 43.6%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 50.0%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Arbroath's 10 matches and 6 of Dunfermline's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?