Livingston vs Inverness C Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.57
Away Win
3.86
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Livingston
Inverness C
B. Kabongolo (T. Sinclair) ⚽
24'
58'
⚽ A. Stewart (P. Allan)
76'
⚽ A. Bavidge
R. Muirhead (S. May) ⚽
79'
T. Sinclair 🟨
84'
89'
🟨 R. MacGregor
R. Muirhead 🟨
90+1'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Livingston edge recent form, attack and defence, Inverness C edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Livingston stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Livingston stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Livingston stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inverness C have secured two victories from their last five away fixtures, while Livingston have recorded three wins in their corresponding home sample. Livingston have scored in three of their last five home matches and kept three clean sheets during that same period. Livingston rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Inverness C rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Livingston win
Latest market chance 48.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.6% → 48.7%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.8%
+0.1 pts
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.5%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Livingston
Draw
Inverness C
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LivingstonInverness C
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
0.83
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
11.7
Shots/Game
8.6
3.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Livingston at home (5 matches) vs Inverness C away (4 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.25
1.40
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Livingston
Home form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inverness C
Away form
W
D
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Livingston Wins
1
Draws
2
Inverness C Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Livingston0 – 1Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 1Livingston
Livingston0 – 0Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 3Livingston
Livingston0 – 1Inverness C
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Livingstonvs
Inverness C
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.6%→Latest 49.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Livingston's 10 matches and 4 of Inverness C's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?