Livingston vs Stenhousemuir Head to Head, Prediction
The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.42
Draw
4.15
Away Win
7.67
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Livingston
Stenhousemuir
14'
⚽ A. Shinnie (M. Anderson)
E. Danso 🟨
38'
S. Culbert 🟨
42'
44'
🟨 S. Young
R. Muirhead 🟨
53'
L. Polworth 🟨
90+1'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Livingston edge head-to-head, Stenhousemuir edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Livingston stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Livingston
Livingston's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Livingston win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Livingston win
Latest market chance 65.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
69.1% → 65.6%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
19.8% → 21.6%
+1.8 pts
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 12.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
11.1% → 12.8%
+1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Livingston
Draw
Stenhousemuir
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LivingstonStenhousemuir
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
1st
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
2.50
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.50
11.7
Shots/Game
7.1
3.6
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Livingston at home (5 matches) vs Stenhousemuir away (4 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
2.50
1.40
Goals/Game
1.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.25
40%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Livingston
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stenhousemuir
Away form
D
W
Unbeaten in last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Stenhousemuir.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Livingston Wins
5
Draws
0
Stenhousemuir Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Stenhousemuir0 – 1Livingston
Livingston1 – 0Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir0 – 4Livingston
Livingston4 – 1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir0 – 3Livingston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Livingstonvs
Stenhousemuir
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded / game
0.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/4
1/10
Both Teams Scored
2/4
4/10
Failed to Score
0/4
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 54.4%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 48.3%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Stenhousemuir have only 4 completed fixtures on record.
6 of Livingston's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?