Partick vs Arbroath Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Firhill Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.39
Draw
4.86
Away Win
7.46
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Partick
Arbroath
B. Stanway (S. Drozd) ⚽
8'
B. Stanway (S. Drozd) ⚽
20'
25'
🟨 S. Mackie
L. Ashcroft (O. Smyth) ⚽
70'
90'
🟨 S. Constable
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Partick edge recent form, attack and defence, Arbroath edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Partick slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arbroath stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Partick have secured two victories and three draws from their last five home outings, while Arbroath have managed just one win alongside a draw in three defeats during the same number of away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home and have kept four clean sheets in that identical run. Partick rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Arbroath rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Partick's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points, while Arbroath's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Partick
Partick's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Partick win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Partick win
Latest market chance 67.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
64.3% → 67.1%
+2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.7% → 20.3%
−1.4 pts
Arbroath win
Latest market chance 12.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
13.9% → 12.6%
−1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Partick
Draw
Arbroath
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PartickArbroath
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
7
Games Played
8
1.71
Points/Game
1.38
0.71
Goals/Game
0.75
0.29
Conceded/Game
1.25
11.7
Shots/Game
3.9
4.6
Shots on Target
2.1
Home vs Away Context
Partick at home (5 matches) vs Arbroath away (5 matches)
2.20
Points/Game
0.60
1.20
Goals/Game
0.40
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.20
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Partick
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Arbroath
Away form
D
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Partick Wins
1
Draws
3
Arbroath Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.2
Arbroath0 – 0Partick
Partick0 – 0Arbroath
Arbroath2 – 1Partick
Partick1 – 1Arbroath
Arbroath0 – 1Partick
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Partickvs
Arbroath
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded / game
1.00
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 54.5%+4.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.2%→Latest 48.5%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Partick's 10 matches and 2 of Arbroath's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?