Queens Park vs Ayr Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The City Stadium
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.25
Draw
3.26
Away Win
2.30
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Queens Park
Ayr
23'
🟨 K. Holt
30'
• R. Taylor (R. Taylor)
35'
⚽ D. Watret (S. McMann)
S. Martin 🟨
40'
B. Brannan 🟨
59'
62'
⚽ J. Landers (L. King)
90'
🟨 N. McAllister
90+1'
🟨 None
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Queens Park edge head-to-head, Ayr edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ayr slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ayr slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ayr slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Queens Park stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ayr have struggled on the road with just one draw in their last five away fixtures, while Queens Park face a difficult test at home after recording only a solitary win in their recent outings. Queens Park have found the net in two of their last five home matches but remain without a clean sheet during that same period. Ayr hold a slight advantage in form and attack and defence, while Queens Park rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Queens Park losing run
55%
Queens Park yellow cards after 75'
1
Ayr points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Ayr
Ayr's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Ayr win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 29.3%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 29.2%
+0.4 pts
Ayr win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.0% → 41.5%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Queens Park
Draw
Ayr
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Queens ParkAyr
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
0.83
0.50
Goals/Game
0.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
5.4
Shots/Game
5.4
2.6
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Queens Park at home (4 matches) vs Ayr away (5 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.40
0.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Queens Park
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ayr
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Queens Park Wins
1
Draws
4
Ayr Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Queens Park1 – 1Ayr
Ayr1 – 2Queens Park
Queens Park0 – 0Ayr
Ayr1 – 1Queens Park
Ayr2 – 2Queens Park
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Queens Parkvs
Ayr
Recent Scoring Profile
0.40
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.30
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
7/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 45.1%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.5%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Queens Park's 10 matches and 4 of Ayr's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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