Raith Rvs vs Arbroath Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.66
Draw
3.66
Away Win
5.36
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Raith Rvs
Arbroath
G. Oakley ⚽
8'
G. Oakley (C. Adamson) ⚽
15'
26'
🟥 C. Dewar
J. Rowe (C. Adamson) ⚽
27'
J. Baird 🟨
45'
K. Montagu 🟨
47'
D. Easton ⚽ (P)
63'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Raith Rvs edge recent form and attack, Arbroath edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arbroath stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Raith Rvs have enjoyed a perfect home record with four wins and no defeats in their last five outings, Arbroath have struggled away from home, managing just a single win and a draw against three losses in the same sample. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet on only two occasions during that identical period. Raith Rvs rate stronger on form and attack, while Arbroath rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Arbroath won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Raith Rvs's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Raith Rvs win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Raith Rvs win
Latest market chance 56.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
48.2% → 56.7%
+8.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.6% → 25.7%
−1.9 pts
Arbroath win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.2% → 17.6%
−6.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Raith Rvs
Draw
Arbroath
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Raith RvsArbroath

Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
5th
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
1.60
1.40
Goals/Game
0.80
0.60
Conceded/Game
0.80
9.7
Shots/Game
3.9
4.1
Shots on Target
2.1
Home vs Away Context
Raith Rvs at home (4 matches) vs Arbroath away (5 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.60
1.75
Goals/Game
0.40
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.20
50%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Raith Rvs
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Arbroath
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Raith Rvs Wins
2
Draws
1
Arbroath Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Arbroath2 – 1Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs2 – 3Arbroath
Arbroath0 – 0Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs3 – 0Arbroath
Raith Rvs5 – 0Arbroath
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Raith Rvsvs
Arbroath

Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.5%→Latest 46.5%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 47.2%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Raith Rvs's 10 matches and 5 of Arbroath's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?