Raith Rvs vs Livingston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fri 25 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.49
Draw
3.26
Away Win
2.89
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Raith Rvs
Livingston
S. Brown 🟨
35'
47'
⚽ R. Muirhead (C. Montano)
60'
⚽ (P) R. Muirhead
66'
🟨 B. Kabongolo
J. Baird 🟨
72'
85'
🟨 S. May
G. Oakley 🟨
90+3'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Raith Rvs edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Raith Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Raith Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Livingston have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures, though they have suffered two defeats in that same span, while Raith Rvs boast an impressive unbeaten record at home with four wins and a solitary draw across their recent outings. At home, Raith Rvs have found the net in all five of their most recent matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during that identical period. Raith Rvs hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 5 March 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Raith Rvs's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Livingston's implied win probability has fallen by 3.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Raith Rvs points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Livingston
Livingston's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Livingston win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Raith Rvs remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Raith Rvs win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.6% → 38.3%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.8% → 28.9%
+1.1 pts
Livingston win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.6% → 32.9%
−3.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Raith Rvs
Draw
Livingston
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Raith RvsLivingston

Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
5th
7
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
1.43
1.57
Goals/Game
1.43
0.43
Conceded/Game
1.00
9.7
Shots/Game
11.7
4.1
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Raith Rvs at home (4 matches) vs Livingston away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Raith Rvs
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Livingston
Away form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Raith Rvs Wins
2
Draws
1
Livingston Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Livingston0 – 0Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs2 – 1Livingston
Livingston2 – 1Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs0 – 1Livingston
Livingston0 – 1Raith Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Raith Rvsvs
Livingston

Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 49.0%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.4%→Latest 54.6%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Raith Rvs's 10 matches and 3 of Livingston's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?