Airdrie Utd vs Montrose Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Albert Bartlett Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.28
Away Win
3.49
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Airdrie Utd
Montrose
42'
🟨 B. Lyons
L. Gibson ⚽ (P)
49'
52'
🟨 J. Barjonas
S. Fisher 🟨
61'
R. Tumilty 🟨
65'
C. Smith 🟨
88'
89'
🟨 C. Oosenbrugh
M. Yates 🟨
90+2'
Starting Lineups
Airdrie Utd
J. Sneddon
S. Fisher
D. Gallagher
C. Ross
R. Tumilty
D. MacDonald
E. Simpson
C. Smith
L. Gibson
J. Gentles
G. Gallagher
Montrose
C. Gill
C. Oosenbrugh
A. Quinn
S. McGinty
F. Duffy
B. Lyons
J. Barjonas
H. Craig
G. Webster
G. Oliver
J. Sutherland
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Airdrie Utd edge defence and head-to-head, Montrose edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Airdrie Utd slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Montrose have secured two away wins from their last five outings, while Airdrie Utd have managed just one victory in that same span at home. Airdrie Utd have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical span. Montrose rate stronger on form and attack, while Airdrie Utd rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Airdrie Utd won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 8 April 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Montrose's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Airdrie Utd's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Montrose's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Airdrie Utd win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Airdrie Utd win
Latest market chance 46.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
44.8% → 46.8%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 25.8%
−0.2 pts
Montrose win
Latest market chance 27.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.1% → 27.4%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Airdrie Utd
Draw
Montrose
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Airdrie UtdMontrose
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.88
0.75
Goals/Game
1.62
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.62
8.0
Shots/Game
7.2
3.4
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Airdrie Utd at home (5 matches) vs Montrose away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
1.20
0.80
Goals/Game
1.20
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
40%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Airdrie Utd
Home form
L
D
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montrose
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Airdrie Utd Wins
3
Draws
1
Montrose Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.6
Airdrie Utd3 – 0Montrose
Montrose2 – 4Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd4 – 0Montrose
Montrose4 – 2Airdrie Utd
Montrose2 – 2Airdrie Utd
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Airdrie Utdvs
Montrose
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 53.5%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 56.4%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Airdrie Utd's 10 matches and 2 of Montrose's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?