East Fife vs East Kilbride Head to Head | Scottish League One

Match Report

Full Time

0 – 3

Match Events

East Fife

East Kilbride

10'

🟨 A. Steele

40'

⚽ C. Elliott (O. Calder)

42'

🟨 C. Elliott

56'

⚽ C. Elliott (M. Robertson)

T. Milne 🟨

69'

M. Bah 🟨

72'

73'

⚽ (P) C. Elliott

A. Munro 🟨

75'

Starting Lineups

East Fife

D. Gaston

E. McLeod

H. Seisay

A. Munro

B. Easton

R. Peggie

C. Beattie

M. Bah

K. Millar

N. Austin

C. Ross

East Kilbride

S. Kelly

S. Fagan

A. Steele

J. Hamilton

E. East

L. McGrattan

J. Balde

O. Calder

C. McGuffie

C. Elliott

S. Culbert

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. East Fife edge defence, East Kilbride edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

East Kilbride stronger

HomeAway

Attack

East Kilbride slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

East Fife stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

East Kilbride have managed just one victory and a single draw in their last four away fixtures, while East Fife have secured one win alongside three draws from five home games across the current campaign and previous seasons. At home, East Fife have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent sample. East Kilbride rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while East Fife rate stronger on defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, East Fife's implied win probability has risen by 4.7 percentage points, while East Kilbride's implied win probability has fallen by 5.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from East Kilbride

East Kilbride's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a East Kilbride win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

East Fife win

Latest market chance 28.9%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

24.6% → 28.9%

+4.3 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

25.5% → 26.2%

+0.7 pts

East Kilbride win

Latest market chance 44.9%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

49.9% → 44.9%

−5.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

East Fife

Draw

East Kilbride

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

East Fife

East Kilbride

Season Profile

This season

7th

League Position

4th

Games Played

1.00

Points/Game

1.63

0.88

Goals/Game

1.75

0.88

Conceded/Game

1.50

7.5

Shots/Game

9.4

3.6

Shots on Target

4.5

Home vs Away Context

East Fife at home (5 matches) vs East Kilbride away (5 matches)

1.00

Points/Game

1.40

1.00

Goals/Game

1.20

1.40

Conceded/Game

1.80

20%

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

East Fife

Home form

1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

East Kilbride

Away form

Lost 2 of last 4 away

Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for East Kilbride.

0.75

Goals scored
per match

2.25

Goals conceded
per match

2/4

Scored in
last 4

0/4

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between East Fife and East Kilbride.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

East Fife

East Kilbride

Recent Scoring Profile

0.80

Goals scored / game

1.75

0.80

Goals conceded / game

1.50

3/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

6/8

5/10

Both Teams Scored

4/8

4/10

Failed to Score

3/8

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.5%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

55.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

35.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

58.7%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 55.3%→Latest 55.1%−0.2 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.9%→Latest 58.5%+1.6 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.

East Kilbride have only 8 completed fixtures on record.

2 of East Fife's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

East Fife vs East Kilbride Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis