East Fife vs Montrose Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.15
Away Win
2.89
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
East Fife
Montrose
23'
🟨 J. Barjonas
29'
🟨 H. Craig
30'
⚽ A. Quinn (J. Barjonas)
47'
⚽ G. Webster (F. Duffy)
68'
🟨 A. Quinn
J. Healy 🟨
76'
C. Ross ⚽
86'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. East Fife edge defence, Montrose edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Defence
East Fife stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
East Fife have remained unbeaten in their last five home outings with two victories and three draws, while Montrose have recorded just a single win alongside one draw from their last five away fixtures. At home, East Fife have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent run. Montrose rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while East Fife rate stronger on defence. Montrose won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 4 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to East Fife's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Montrose losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Montrose
Montrose's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Montrose win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. East Fife remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Fife win
Latest market chance 39.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.6% → 39.4%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 28.1%
+1.0 pts
Montrose win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
37.3% → 32.4%
−4.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
East Fife
Draw
Montrose
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East FifeMontrose
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.57
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.71
7.5
Shots/Game
7.2
3.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
East Fife at home (5 matches) vs Montrose away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.20
1.00
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.40
20%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Fife
Home form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montrose
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
East Fife Wins
0
Draws
2
Montrose Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Montrose1 – 0East Fife
East Fife2 – 3Montrose
Montrose2 – 1East Fife
East Fife1 – 1Montrose
Montrose0 – 0East Fife
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Fifevs
Montrose
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.80
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.0%→Latest 49.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 54.8%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of East Fife's 10 matches and 3 of Montrose's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?