Peterhead vs Montrose Head to Head, Prediction
Balmoor
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.16
Draw
3.34
Away Win
3.03
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Peterhead
Montrose
4'
⚽ J. Barjonas
J. Brown 🟨
21'
37'
⚽ J. Sutherland (C. Oosenbrugh)
40'
🟨 G. Oliver
52'
⚽ J. Barjonas (B. Lyons)
71'
🟨 K. Freeman
73'
🟨 H. Craig
88'
🟨 E. Loudon
Starting Lineups
Peterhead
J. Newman
D. Strachan
J. Brown
J. Kerr
T. Davies-Browne
D. Forrest
B. Yule
P. Pawlett
Z. To
S. Ross
C. Smith
Montrose
C. Gill
C. Oosenbrugh
A. Quinn
S. McGinty
F. Duffy
H. Craig
K. Freeman
J. Barjonas
B. Lyons
G. Oliver
J. Sutherland
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Peterhead edge recent form and defence, Montrose edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Peterhead slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Peterhead stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Peterhead
Peterhead's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Peterhead win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 42.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
44.6% → 42.9%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.7% → 27.5%
+0.8 pts
Montrose win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.6% → 29.6%
+1.0 pts
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterheadMontrose
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
7th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
1.20
0.80
Goals/Game
1.20
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.20
7.9
Shots/Game
7.2
3.0
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Peterhead at home (4 matches) vs Montrose away (5 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.20
0.75
Goals/Game
1.20
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.40
25%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterhead
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montrose
Away form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterhead Wins
0
Draws
3
Montrose Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Peterhead1 – 1Montrose
Montrose1 – 1Peterhead
Peterhead1 – 1Montrose
Montrose2 – 1Peterhead
Montrose2 – 1Peterhead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterheadvs
Montrose
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.8%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 57.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Peterhead's 10 matches and 5 of Montrose's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?