Ross County vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Global Energy Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.33
Draw
5.90
Away Win
5.91
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Ross County
Alloa
19'
🟨 O. Foster
B. Graham ⚽ (P)
38'
50'
🟨 C. Waters
55'
🟨 A. Crilly
C. Randall 🟨
64'
C. Randall (L. McCarvel) ⚽
68'
J. Reid (L. McCarvel) ⚽
75'
77'
🟨 S. Hetherington
C. Hamilton (R. Diack) ⚽
87'
90'
⚽ S. Taggart
Starting Lineups
Ross County
B. Foster
C. Randall
A. Wright
L. Reid
J. Reid
R. Chin
C. Hamilton
R. Docherty
A. Emslie
K. Phillips
B. Graham
Alloa
R. Stewart
O. Foster
S. Taggart
J. McGrath
C. Waters
G. Marchant
S. Hetherington
L. Ross
A. Crilly
B. Forbes
M. Aitken
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ross County
Ross County rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Ross County an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ross County have secured five wins from their last five home matches, whereas Alloa have recorded just one victory and suffered three defeats in their corresponding away outings over the same span. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures while also keeping four clean sheets during that identical period. Ross County rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 6-day comparison window, Ross County's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points, while Alloa's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Ross County.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Ross County unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Ross County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Ross County
Ross County's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Ross County win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ross County win
Latest market chance 71.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
75.8% → 71.7%
−4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
16.2% → 17.1%
+0.9 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 11.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
8.0% → 11.2%
+3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ross County
Draw
Alloa
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ross CountyAlloa
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
5th
7
Games Played
8
2.71
Points/Game
1.13
3.14
Goals/Game
1.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
0.75
13.7
Shots/Game
9.4
6.9
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Ross County at home (4 matches) vs Alloa away (5 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.80
4.50
Goals/Game
0.80
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.40
100%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ross County
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
4.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ross County Wins
3
Draws
0
Alloa Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
Alloa1 – 0Ross County
Ross County2 – 0Alloa
Alloa0 – 1Ross County
Ross County1 – 0Alloa
Alloa2 – 0Ross County
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ross Countyvs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
2.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 61.8%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.7%→Latest 50.3%+7.6 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Ross County's 10 matches and 2 of Alloa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?