Forfar vs Annan Athletic Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Station Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.63
Draw
3.20
Away Win
2.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Forfar
Annan Athletic
L. Perrie (B. Alston) ⚽
22'
E. Crombie 🟨
48'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Forfar edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Annan Athletic edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Annan Athletic slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Forfar have enjoyed four wins from their last five outings at home, Annan Athletic have recorded two victories in their last five away fixtures. Forfar have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept four clean sheets during that same period. Forfar rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Annan Athletic hold a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Forfar's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Annan Athletic's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Forfar points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Annan Athletic remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forfar win
Latest market chance 35.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
36.4% → 35.5%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.8% → 28.1%
+1.3 pts
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.8% → 36.4%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forfar
Draw
Annan Athletic
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ForfarAnnan Athletic
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
6th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.29
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.29
8.2
Shots/Game
9.5
3.9
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Forfar at home (4 matches) vs Annan Athletic away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.75
1.25
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forfar
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Annan Athletic
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forfar Wins
3
Draws
1
Annan Athletic Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Annan Athletic1 – 1Forfar
Forfar2 – 1Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3 – 1Forfar
Forfar1 – 0Annan Athletic
Forfar2 – 1Annan Athletic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forfarvs
Annan Athletic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 50.7%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 55.8%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Forfar's 10 matches and 3 of Annan Athletic's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?