Stirling vs Kelty Hearts Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Forthbank Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.53
Draw
3.93
Away Win
2.48
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kelty Hearts edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kelty Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Kelty Hearts slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Kelty Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kelty Hearts have found it difficult on the road in their last five away fixtures, managing just a solitary victory during that span, while Stirling look more settled at home with three draws and only one defeat in their most recent five outings. Stirling have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Kelty Hearts rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Kelty Hearts won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 8 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Stirling's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Stirling losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Kelty Hearts points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stirling win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.4% → 37.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.6%
±0.0 pts
Kelty Hearts win
Latest market chance 37.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.0% → 37.0%
±0.0 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StirlingKelty Hearts

Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
6th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
1.33
1.22
Goals/Game
1.44
2.44
Conceded/Game
2.00
9.2
Shots/Game
10.4
4.9
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Stirling at home (4 matches) vs Kelty Hearts away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.60
1.25
Goals/Game
0.80
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.20
25%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Stirling
Home form
D
W
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Kelty Hearts
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stirling Wins
2
Draws
0
Kelty Hearts Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Kelty Hearts3 – 2Stirling
Kelty Hearts1 – 0Stirling
Stirling5 – 0Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts1 – 0Stirling
Stirling1 – 0Kelty Hearts
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stirlingvs
Kelty Hearts

Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 58.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Stirling's 10 matches and 1 of Kelty Hearts's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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