Aberdeen vs St Mirren Head to Head, Prediction
Pittodrie Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.82
Draw
3.68
Away Win
4.03
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Mirren edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Mirren slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Mirren stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 51.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.3% → 51.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.4%
±0.0 pts
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.2% → 23.2%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aberdeen
Draw
St Mirren
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AberdeenSt Mirren
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
5th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.43
1.00
Goals/Game
1.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.29
9.9
Shots/Game
14.3
2.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Aberdeen at home (3 matches) vs St Mirren away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
33%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aberdeen
Home form
W
L
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Mirren
Away form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aberdeen Wins
1
Draws
1
St Mirren Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Aberdeen0 – 2St Mirren
St Mirren2 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen3 – 3St Mirren
St Mirren0 – 1Aberdeen
St Mirren1 – 0Aberdeen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aberdeenvs
St Mirren
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 53.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Aberdeen's 10 matches and 3 of St Mirren's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?