Celtic vs Hearts Head to Head, Prediction
Celtic Park
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.50
Away Win
6.32
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Celtic edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 28 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celtic win
Latest market chance 64.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.5% → 64.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 20.7%
±0.0 pts
Hearts win
Latest market chance 14.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.8% → 14.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celtic
Draw
Hearts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 28 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CelticHearts
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
2.57
Points/Game
1.86
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.14
20.0
Shots/Game
16.3
8.3
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Celtic at home (4 matches) vs Hearts away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celtic
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hearts
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celtic Wins
2
Draws
1
Hearts Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
Celtic3 – 1Hearts
Hearts2 – 2Celtic
Celtic1 – 2Hearts
Hearts3 – 1Celtic
Celtic3 – 0Hearts
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celticvs
Hearts
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 61.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 55.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Celtic's 10 matches and 3 of Hearts's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?