Celtic vs Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Celtic Park
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.79
Away Win
3.14
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Celtic
Rangers
4'
🟨 Emmanuel Fernandez
5'
🟨 Derek McInnes
33'
⚽ Ryan Naderi
57'
🟨 Min-su Kim
Callum McGregor 🟨
73'
Sebastian Tounekti 🟨
74'
88'
🟨 Badredine Bouanani
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
5
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
8
8
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Celtic (3-5-2)
V. Sinisalo
C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty
L. Scales
Colby Donovan
L. McCowan
C. McGregor
M. Baur
K. Tierney
B. Nygren
C. Durán
Rangers (4-4-1-1)
I. Pandur
D. Sterling
E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya
J. Penrice
Minsu Kim
D. Neil
N. Raskin
D. Gassama
R. Naderi
K. Kelsy
Player Ratings ?
Celtic
V. SinisaloG7.4
C. Carter-VickersD7.0
A. TrustyD6.9
Rangers
R. NaderiM7.3
D. SterlingD7.0
B. GodfreyD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Celtic have secured five wins from their last five home outings, while Rangers have recorded three victories and one draw in their last five away fixtures. Celtic have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that same period. Celtic rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Celtic won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Rangers's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Celtic's implied win probability has fallen by 8.0 percentage points, while Rangers's implied win probability has risen by 6.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Celtic a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Celtic unbeaten run
15
Celtic points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Celtic
Celtic's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Celtic win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celtic win
Latest market chance 43.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
51.8% → 43.8%
−8.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
24.4% → 25.9%
+1.5 pts
Rangers win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.8% → 30.3%
+6.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celtic
Draw
Rangers
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CelticRangers
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
3.00
Points/Game
2.17
2.33
Goals/Game
1.17
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.67
20.0
Shots/Game
20.0
8.3
Shots on Target
6.7
Home vs Away Context
Celtic at home (4 matches) vs Rangers away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
2.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
75%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celtic
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rangers
Away form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Celtic Wins
1
Draws
3
Rangers Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Celtic3 – 1Rangers
Rangers2 – 2Celtic
Celtic1 – 3Rangers
Rangers0 – 0Celtic
Rangers1 – 1Celtic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celticvs
Rangers
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 60.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 63.4%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Celtic's 10 matches and 4 of Rangers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?