Dundee vs St Johnstone Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Dens Park
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.65
Draw
3.57
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Dundee
St Johnstone
63'
🟨 Zach Mitchell
84'
🟨 Sam Stanton
Charlie Reilly ⚽
87'
90'
⚽ Josh Fowler (Macaulay Tait)
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Dundee (4-4-2)
O. Goodman
B. Halliday
R. Astley
O. Bevan
I. Odutayo
J. Bevan
R. Finnigan
E. Hamilton
A. Forrest
B. Wales
J. Westley
St Johnstone (4-4-2)
T. Steward
M. Todd
Z. Mitchell
C. Diabate
E. Alıç
S. Stanton
J. Holt
R. McAlear
T. Steven
R. Paton
J. Gullan
Player Ratings ?
Dundee
C. ReillyF8.2
R. FinniganM7.1
O. BevanD7.0
St Johnstone
J. FowlerF8.2
C. DiabateD7.4
E. AlıçD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dundee
Dundee rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Dundee a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards St Johnstone
St Johnstone's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St Johnstone win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee win
Latest market chance 36.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.5% → 36.3%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.3%
−0.3 pts
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.9% → 36.4%
+1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee
Draw
St Johnstone
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dundee
St Johnstone
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
9th
4
Games Played
3
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.67
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.3
Shots/Game
10.6
3.7
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Dundee at home (4 matches) vs St Johnstone away (3 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.33
1.50
Goals/Game
0.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dundee
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
St Johnstone
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee Wins
3
Draws
1
St Johnstone Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
2025-05-182024-2025
St Johnstone0 – 2Dundee
2025-03-012024-2025
Dundee1 – 1St Johnstone
2025-01-052024-2025
St Johnstone1 – 3Dundee
2024-10-262024-2025
Dundee1 – 2St Johnstone
2024-03-302023-2024
St Johnstone1 – 2Dundee
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundee
vs
St Johnstone
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
30.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 51.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Aug 30Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.7%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Dundee's 10 matches and 7 of St Johnstone's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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