Hibernian vs Aberdeen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Easter Road
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.99
Away Win
4.53
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Hibernian
Aberdeen
17'
⚽ Kevin Nisbet (Gavin Molloy)
34'
🟨 Kevin Nisbet
59'
🟨 Jack Milne
Martin Boyle ⚽ (P)
62'
A. Major 🟨
70'
Miguel Changa Chaiwa 🟨
84'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
9
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Hibernian (3-4-1-2)
R. Sallinger
J. Kerr
G. Hanley
J. Iredale
F. Passlack
J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa
A. Mayor
C. Wright
M. Boyle
O. Elding
Aberdeen (3-5-2)
M. Müller
C. Cadden
J. Milne
M. Knoester
G. Molloy
N. Guinness-Walker
C. Ronan
A. Aremu
F. Marshall
T. Olusanya
K. Nisbet
Player Ratings ?
Hibernian
G. HanleyD7.3
J. IredaleD7.1
M. BoyleF6.9
Aberdeen
K. NisbetF8.1
M. KnoesterD7.0
G. MolloyD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hibernian edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Aberdeen have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while Hibernian remain winless in all five of their most recent home outings. At home, Hibernian have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Hibernian hold a slight advantage in form and attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Aberdeen won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Hibernian's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Hibernian's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Aberdeen's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Aberdeen losing run
0
Hibernian points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hibernian
Hibernian's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hibernian win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 54.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
53.2% → 54.1%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.6%
−0.4 pts
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.3%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hibernian
Draw
Aberdeen
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HibernianAberdeen
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
1.17
1.17
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.17
16.9
Shots/Game
9.9
4.4
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Hibernian at home (4 matches) vs Aberdeen away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hibernian
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aberdeen
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hibernian Wins
3
Draws
0
Aberdeen Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Aberdeen2 – 0Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen1 – 2Hibernian
Aberdeen1 – 0Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 0Aberdeen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hibernianvs
Aberdeen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 56.3%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 56.6%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Hibernian's 10 matches and 4 of Aberdeen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?